tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2638625644260984259.post5009640097444446854..comments2023-05-29T14:26:46.554+01:00Comments on The Poliblogs: Has Brown just made a mistake?Garbohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14140355134125830862noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2638625644260984259.post-31032968004272570542007-10-03T16:40:00.000+01:002007-10-03T16:40:00.000+01:00Labour could well lose seats to the SNP which will...Labour could well lose seats to the SNP which will only make it harder for them to get over the 66 seat threshold. Not sure the BNP will have such an effect. As for Wales, Labour seats should be safer there I reckon - certainly not the same level of threat as there is north of the border.<BR/><BR/>The big problem for the Tories is that the Labour vote is far more efficiently spread and so they could even gain less of the popular vote and still have an overall majority. The Tories need to be getting 4% more than Labour to realisticly form a majority government - I just can not see that happening.<BR/><BR/>Right now (and this could change when I see the next round of polls) but I reckon a Labour win of a similar or slightly less level of seats to what they have now.<BR/><BR/>The best hope the Tories can possible have is a hung parliament with labour as the biggest party. That would make things interesting though as the Lib Dems then come in to play...Garbohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14140355134125830862noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2638625644260984259.post-64161705538414749762007-10-03T16:32:00.000+01:002007-10-03T16:32:00.000+01:00Hmmm.How do you call the situation in Scotland and...Hmmm.<BR/><BR/>How do you call the situation in Scotland and Wales?<BR/><BR/>MattMatt Wardmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04326720801362744582noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2638625644260984259.post-81967305733982119762007-10-03T16:24:00.000+01:002007-10-03T16:24:00.000+01:00I was particularly impressed by the way Cameron an...I was particularly impressed by the way Cameron announced the ending of the penalisation of couples on benefits.<BR/><BR/>This will do much for the children of disabled parents.<BR/><BR/>As to your prediction for the election, the key is Scotland and the SNP. If they do well, Labour will be struggling to get a majority. Especially if the BNP do well in Labour strongholds.eeorehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02657816556456124166noreply@blogger.com