Take the YouGov poll - Labour 40%, Tories 36%. That is genuinely good reading for Labour. On the back the best week the Tories have had since Brown came to power and they still lead by 4 points.
Brown has to go to the polls if he wants to keep face. He will be on the back foot for the next six months and on the run from Cameron if not. All it would then take is a downturn in the economy and he could be in serious trouble. I suspect Brown will ride out the weekend, hope the polls settle to a steady 4% lead and go to the polls on the 1st or 8th. That would return him a big enough majority – and would be better than Blair did last time. Even a 1% lead would give him in the region of a 20 seat lead.
If he wants to finish off Cameron then he has to go now. I am just not sure the man has the nerve – and there is the problem, if he doesn’t go he is a weaker leader for it. Do you feel lucky Mr Brown? Well do ya?