Should Gordon Brown call a snap general election?
Should Gordon Brown call a snap general election for this autumn? There’s certainly plenty of speculation at
On the face of it, it might prove a smart move. The ‘Brown bounce’ sees the new prime minister around six points ahead of the Tories in the polls. That’s quite a pay-off simply for not being Tony Blair.
Brown's guessing game
There are signs that
The great election conundrum
I've left a few comments here and there on other people's blogs with regard to the ongoing debate over whether Gordon Brown will call a snap autumn election, but not so far specifically blogged on it myself.
So what's my view? Well, at the risk of making an almighty arse of myself if El Gordo announces he's going to the country tomorrow, I don't think an election this year is in any way likely, for two main reasons.
So what do you reckon? Do you think that Gordon Brown will call a UK General Election in the autumn, perhaps in October?
I only ask because of a certain twitchiness in the body politic which is displaying unwarranted signs of life for these dog days of August. Today, for example, we learn that the SNP are accelerating their candidate selection process, in order to be ready.
The revolution enters a new phase
Philip Gould's memo laying out what Gordon Brown needs to do to win an early election makes for fascinating reading. Especially notable is Gould’s belief that elections can’t be won on ‘schools n’ hospitals’ or ‘investment versus Tory cuts’ any more. He writes that:
With Labour having a reasonable lead in the opinion polls recently it is hardly surprising that speculation has increased on the prospect of an early election.
The government’s statement last week on the railways was Groundhog Day. It was deja vue all over again. I have lost count of how many times Crossrail and Thameslink have been announced. The funding for Crossrail remains delayed owing to the late arrival of the incoming banknotes. Crossrail is an expensive way of increasing capacity.
The main problem with the railways is lack of capacity. On that government and opposition are now agreed.
87% of members want David Cameron to remain leader
The latest survey of Tory members suggests that there is very little support for those maverick MPs who want to change the party leader. Given four options, 87% of members chose an option which would see David Cameron continuing as leader. Only 8% thought David Cameron should resign or be challenged.
You've Paid For It
The latest f*ck-up in the NHS, I mean. Full details here, but I would just like to highlight a few things. Firstly:
How the bloggers are making politics more febrile, more fun - and more challenging
I have a confession to make about a relatively new habit. I do it at least three times a day. Such is the relentless pull that I shall be indulging at least once as I write this column. For the moment the addiction is not especially harmful to me, but might be to others, especially leaders seeking to get a grip on their parties.
Steve Richards on political blogging
Steve Richards has written a rather glowing and complimentary piece in this morning's Independent about blogs. Interestingly he notes that he tends to find himself reading right wing blogs more than anything else and goes on to say,
Probably part of the reason for the blogging hyperactivity on the right is the current turmoil in the Conservative Party. When a party seeks a new sense of direction after three election defeats there is scope for endless debate, heightened by fleeting moments of fuming anger and joyful euphoria.
EXCLUSIVE Ali Miraj : Labour Did Approach Me to Defect
Guido spoke at length with Ali Miraj last night and learnt that there was, as widely rumoured, an approach from a Labour party intermediary and that he turned down the approach. He told Guido that he did not take it that seriously and he would never defect.
It’s a truism with EU documents that the devil is in the detail, but truisms are called that because they are, well, true. And few people seem to have realised the profound importance of footnote 18 to the proposed draft wording for a replacement of Article 6 on fundamental rights.
Swifter than eagles. And stolen
First there was shock. Then there was grief. Then rage. There was a moment of shock when I rounded the corner the other night because, no matter how often it has happened to you, it is always a gulp-making thing to look at the railings where you left your bike, and see that for the seventh time in as many years some cowardly little fiend has used a combination of violence and ingenuity to steal it.
The challenge for Boris
There is both a must-read and a must-hear on the Boris for
Bloggers should Scrutinise UK Government Written Statements
Amidst all the news about the floods and the new Prime Ministerial initiatives by Gordon Brown, last week more than 100 UK Government “Written Parliamentary Statements” were released in the 2 or 3 days before Parliament closed for the summer 10 week break.